Trump Approval Rating Graph – Latest Data and Trends

Donald Trump’s approval rating in late 2026 has settled in the upper 30s to low 40s, with multiple major pollsters showing a clear downward trend from earlier in his term. Data from Gallup, Fox News, Quinnipiac, and aggregated polling averages all indicate a net-negative approval profile, with disapproval consistently above 55%.

The pattern is not limited to one survey. Across the four most cited sources, Trump’s approval ranges from 36% to 41%, while disapproval sits in the high 50s. The trend line drawn from these numbers slopes downward from early 2025 levels, reflecting erosion even among core supporters.

Understanding the current numbers requires looking beyond a single poll. The following sections break down the latest readings, the direction of the trend, how Trump compares to past presidents, and which pollsters to trust.

What is Trump’s Approval Rating Today?

• Trump’s approval rating has remained historically polarized, rarely crossing 50% or falling below 35%.
• The 2025–2026 average has fluctuated within a narrow band of 3–4 points despite major news events.
• Gallup’s approval often differs from Fox News by 2–5 points due to methodology and sampling.
• Compared to other recent presidents, Trump’s rating has been more stable but lower than Obama and Biden at similar points.
• Disapproval consistently outpaces approval by a wide margin: roughly 58.5% disapprove vs. 38.3% approve in the aggregator.
• The Fox News poll reports that Trump’s handling of the economy hit a new low, contributing to the overall decline.

Is Trump’s Approval Rating Going Down?

Evidence from multiple sources confirms a downward trajectory. The Fox News poll shows approval dropped from 46% two months earlier to 41% — a record low in that series. Gallup reports a decline to 36%, described as a new second‑term low and approaching Trump’s all‑time low of 34%. The Wikipedia polling average places approval at 38.3%, with a net negative of −20.2 points.

What the Data Show Over Time

A plotted graph of the trend would display a downward slope from early 2025 levels into late 2026, rather than a stable plateau. Recent polls cluster in the upper‑30s to low‑40s approval range, while disapproval holds a consistent majority in the high‑50s. This indicates the gap has remained materially negative throughout the period.

Is Any Poll an Outlier?

The polling average in the aggregator suggests Fox News is not an outlier; its 41% sits near the center of the recent polling band. Gallup’s 36% is on the lower end but still within the spread. Quinnipiac’s 38% is consistent with the broader cluster.

How Does Trump’s Approval Rating Compare to Other Presidents?

At a comparable stage in their presidencies, both Barack Obama and Joe Biden held approval ratings in the mid‑40s to low‑50s. Trump’s current level in the upper‑30s is significantly below those figures. According to historical data from the American Presidency Project, Trump’s approval has been more polarized — with higher disapproval among the opposing party — but also lower overall than most recent incumbents.

Comparison with Biden and Obama

Biden’s approval at the two‑year mark averaged around 44–46%, while Obama stood near 50%. Trump’s 38–41% range places him in the bottom tier among post‑WWII presidents at a similar tenure point.

What About His Own First Term?

Trump’s first‑term approval ratings typically hovered in the 40–45% range, with occasional dips below 40%. The current second‑term numbers are roughly 2–4 points lower than his first‑term average, reflecting the downward drift noted by Gallup and Fox News.

Trump Approval Rating Graph 2025–2026: Historical Trends

A chronological look at key events and their impact on approval during Trump’s second term helps explain the downward slope.

1. Jan 2025 – Inauguration: Approval around 45%, typical post‑election bump.
2. Feb 2025 – State of the Union: Slight uptick to 46%.
3. Mar 2025 – Trade policy announcement: Approval dips to 43%.
4. Apr 2025 – Legal proceedings: Further drop to 42%.
5. Mid 2025 – Economic data release: Recovery to 44%, followed by a gradual decline into 2026.

By late 2026, the aggregated average sits at 38.3%, confirming the overall negative trajectory. The downward slope from early 2025 is evident, with no sign of a sustained rebound in the latest results.

Which Polls Are Most Accurate? Gallup vs. Fox News vs. Averages

No single poll is perfectly accurate, but understanding methodology helps interpret the numbers. The table below summarizes the key differences.

Established Information

• Most polls have a margin of error of ±3–4 points.
• Gallup uses telephone surveys of 1,000 adults; Fox News uses registered voters with live callers.
• Aggregated averages (such as the Wikipedia compilation) provide a more stable estimate than any single poll.
• Partisan divides in approval remain near historic highs, as noted by Pew Research Center.

Information That Remains Unclear

• Exact reasons for the 5‑point gap between Gallup and Fox News — methodology alone may not fully explain it.
• Whether recent declines will continue or stabilize in the mid‑30s.
• How much non‑response bias affects each pollster’s results.
• The precise impact of specific events (e.g., legal proceedings) on cross‑poll movement.

What Do These Numbers Mean Politically?

Approval ratings below 50% historically signal vulnerability for a president’s party in midterm elections. Trump’s strong Republican base keeps his floor higher than most incumbents’, but cross‑party disapproval has remained consistently above 90% among Democrats. Independent voters show the widest swings and have been trending negative, which is what drives the overall direction.

The Fox News poll noted that even among core supporters, approval has worsened. This suggests that the negative trend is not solely a function of partisan opposition but reflects broader dissatisfaction.

Looking ahead, midterm election campaigns and upcoming economic indicators will likely continue to influence the rating. The current trajectory points to sustained net‑negative approval unless there is a major shift in public sentiment.

Sources and Quotes

“Trump’s job approval rating averaged 44% in his third month of 2025.”

— Gallup, Presidential Approval Ratings – Donald Trump

“Partisan divides in approval remain near historic highs.”

— Pew Research Center

“The polling average shows Trump well underwater across multiple pollsters, not just in one outlier survey.”

— Wikipedia – Opinion polling on the second Trump presidency

What’s Next for Trump’s Approval Rating?

Upcoming economic data on jobs and inflation, along with any Supreme Court rulings or legal verdicts, will likely shape the next movement in the approval numbers. Midterm campaign effects may also play a role. For the most current snapshot, monitor the aggregated averages from existing trackers, which update daily. See the full analysis of Trump’s 2025–2026 approval trend for more detail.

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